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Revisiting CYCLE II lows n the end of the world

Mukul Pal · March 30, 2010

This is what we said on 28 Oct 2008,
“A cycle is action and reaction. And if you really think a 90% collapse is exceptional, think again, CYCLE II waves are known for their 90% collapses. In other words markets retrace most of the gains of the previous CYCLE I. After which the CYCLE III starts. We continue to look at OCT lows making multiple month entry points, with possible bounce backs, 100% and more from where the feeling of the “End of the world” is the greatest. Don’t get fooled, the world is not ending, and neither is the BVB closing down. Have courage to accumulate the value stories here. We still believe in BRD, TEL, TGN”
Read more…
The illustration on the left is the what we anticipated and what happened. Orpheus accuracy is about catching such large moves and not just week over week or intra day.
Now that prices have retraced more than 50% of the crisis drop, we are still again alone suggesting that prices could top here and markets need more caution than aggression. Our fellow internet bloggers are confirming our view already questioning “what happened to the March reversal” and the 50% drop. Well we never claimed to give 100% accuracy, what we can tell you is what we can see, time for distribution not accumulation.
Enjoy the latest WAVES.ROM

WAVES.ROM is a perspective product published on TUESDAY’S and THURSDAY’S. The report highlights Romanian Stock Market top three Equity Indices viz. the top ten blue chip BET Index (.BETI), BET Composite (.BETC), the Financial Index BETFI (.BETFI) and the local currency RON (EURRON=, RON=). The products covers the top ten BET component stocks. (ROMP.BX, SNPP.BX, BATR.BX, BRDX.BX, TSEL.BX, ATBE.BX, BRKU.BX, BIOF.BX, IMPT.BX, TUBU.BX) and all the components of BETFI Financial Index(SIF2.BX, SIF5.BX, SIF3.BX, SIF1.BX, SIF4.BX) are covered in the report. The product highlights Primary (Multi Month) and Intermediate (Multi Week) price trends. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. The product uses Elliott waves, traditional technical analysis tools, sentiment indicators and other alternative research tools like INTERMARKET to spot outperformers. WAVES.ROM, CHANNELS.BVB and CHANNELS.RASDAQ are bundled together as PERSPECTIVE products. Unlike WAVES which focuses more on blue chips, CHANNELS covers all the BVB and RASDAQ stocks.
Performance cycles is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.
REUTERS COVERAGE .BETFI, TUBU.BX, TSEL.BX, SNPP.BX, SIF5.BX, SIF4.BX, SIF3.BX, SIF2.BX, SIF1.BX, ROMP.BX, IMPT.BX, BRKU.BX, BRDX.BX, BIOF.BX, BATR.BX, ATBE.BX
ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM
ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – USA
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