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READING ALPHA

Mukul Pal · July 26, 2009

ALPHA.READING.270709


This update on ALPHA INDIA will take you through the mechanics of trading or investing based on the product signals. The pair trading strategy is divided into three different time horizons viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). We will call the portfolio with the respective names. Every pair has been classified. The above pair i.e. CNXIT-NSEBANK (IN2) is a pair between the Indian Technology index and NIFTY 50. The tracker illustrated above is a SUB MINOR portfolio with short term trades. The open date is at the top right corner.
The signals for this tracker generally repeat every 23 days. The +A – B notations suggest that the strategy is about buying CNXIT and selling NSEBANK. Now a trader should keep in mind that short term signals are only suggesting short term CNXIT outperformance against NSENBANK. The net unit return (assuming risk weighted baskets) is 3%. Time Arbitrage is an attempt to reduce risk per unit of return, but a seasoned trader knows that risk can never be eliminated and riskless arbitrage, a term quoted in finance textbooks does not exist. This is why though backtested results show limited drawdown, we have a stop loss limit at 4%.  Leveraged traders should try to diversify with multiple pairs in a portfolio. ALPHA.INDIA plans to have 10 pair portfolio next month. Please review the product everytime for fresh signals. The report carries other entry signals for other pairs.
Please feel free to mail us for any clarifications.
Enjoy the latest ALPHA.IND
*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.
ALPHA is a pair trading strategy product based on TIME ARBITRAGE, a term coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and binary charts. The product carries running performance portfolio tracker and give clear entry and exit signals. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.
ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM
ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – USA

THE ORPHEUS NEWSLETTER – 25 July 2009
READING ALPHA

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