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CYCLE II lows n the end of the world

Mukul Pal · October 28, 2008

bet_281008
I am visiting India and am writing from the Orpheus New Delhi desk. Markets have been making lower lows here too. And fortunately or unfortunately, the famous day of 28 Oct (1929, Black Monday) is a national holiday here. Not because India is celebrating the old crash, but it’s a start of an important day in the Old Hindu calendar also celebrated as the festival of lights, Diwali, symbolizing the victory of good over evil. The cyclicality of market crashes juxtaposed along with a day of a new beginning over an end, might seem odd. But this is the way market cycles work, an end is always a beginning.
A few of us from Romania or other emerging and developed parts of the world would wish a holiday too. But that’s the way we think, about pauses in tough times. But markets would not stop falling if you close them down (like we saw in Romania). And markets won’t keep falling just because everybody is selling and we start thinking this to be the end of the world. The stock market never has a “Depression” , it only corrects a previous advance. A cycle is action and reaction. And if you really think a 90% collapse is exceptional, think again, CYCLE II waves are known for their 90% collapses. In other words markets retrace most of the gains of the previous CYCLE I. After which the CYCLE III starts. (RIGHT)
How else do you think, performers will be polarized from underperformers. It’s the survival of the fittest. And what better way to test character, strength and skill than a real structural collapse, where market players are left to think ingeniously and differently. The players who survive today will the market leaders of tomorrow, as the CYCLE, once again will turn.
We continue to look at OCT lows making multiple month entry points, with possible bounce backs, 100% and more from where the feeling of the “End of the world” is the greatest. Don’t get fooled, the world is not ending, and neither is the BVB closing down. Have courage to accumulate the value stories here. We still believe in BRD, TEL, TGN, SNP and will be coming out with the top ten Orpheus stock picks in our latest XTR issue.
Meanwhile, look for new beginnings and not endings, now if you understand that they are the same.
Enjoy the latest WAVES.ROM
WAVES.ROM is a perspective product published on TUESDAY’S and THURSDAY’S. The report highlights Romanian Stock Market top three Equity Indices viz. the top ten blue chip BET Index (.BETI), BET Composite (.BETC), the Financial Index BETFI (.BETFI) and the local currency RON (EURRON=, RON=). The products covers the top ten BET component stocks. (ROMP.BX, SNPP.BX, BATR.BX, BRDX.BX, TSEL.BX, ATBE.BX, BRKU.BX, BIOF.BX, IMPT.BX, TUBU.BX) and all the components of BETFI Financial Index(SIF2.BX, SIF5.BX, SIF3.BX, SIF1.BX, SIF4.BX) are covered in the report. The product highlights Primary (Multi Month) and Intermediate (Multi Week) price trends. The report illustrates key price levels, price targets, price projections and time turn windows. The product uses Elliott waves, traditional technical analysis tools, sentiment indicators and other alternative research tools like INTERMARKET to spot outperformers. WAVES.ROM, CHANNELS.BVB and CHANNELS.RASDAQ are bundled together as PERSPECTIVE products. Unlike WAVES which focuses more on blue chips, CHANNELS covers all the BVB and RASDAQ stocks.
REUTERS COVERAGE .BETFI, TUBU.BX, TSEL.BX, SNPP.BX, SIF5.BX, SIF4.BX, SIF3.BX, SIF2.BX, SIF1.BX, ROMP.BX, IMPT.BX, BRKU.BX, BRDX.BX, BIOF.BX, BATR.BX, ATBE.BX,.BETFI)
ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM
ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – USA

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