Our Jiseki Time cycles are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings from 1 to 100. The higher the percentile more the chance for an asset to weaken and worst the ranking, better the chance for the respective asset to outperform. 100 is top relative performance and 1 is worst performance. The […]
Well of course there are reasons and rules for a stock components to make in and out of the Nifty. But is the approach always objective? Asian Paints and Bank of Baroda replaced Reliance Power and Reliance communications in the Nifty. Lets’ review the changes according to Jiseki. Mostly like in life it’s the worst […]
We are not out of the woods yet. Sensex seems to have completed a flat a-b-c corrective and still has further minor downside. Our longer term view remains positive till Nifty 5,100-5,000 holds. (Sensex 16,600). This week we compare Sensex with Dow to understand how is Sensex positioned vs. global markets and sectors. On 24 […]
On 15 Feb we talked about 4 investment ideas. All of them are positive month to date and barring one all of them are also positive year to date. We will review them at a later date when we integrate all the long investment ideas in a single long only India portfolio. Today we are […]
Timing is everything. Investing a quarter too early can influence the annual return on your portfolio. Now that Hindalco reached near 111 lows it reminds us of the great buy opportunity of 2009 when the stock was sub 40. Before we make our case for Hindalco whether to invest now or later, let us […]
Proportion is mathematical. This is why Elliott beautifully illustrates the proportional structure on markets. In this update we question some Elliott assumptions and highlight some observations on Dow Jones Industrial and the overall market structure. Fig. 1: This is a classic five wave structure from 1789 to 1990. The 1990 highs seemed like a top, […]
Divergence is a strong tool. Longer the time for divergence, larger the possibility of a reversion. Now here we have taken few majors from the machinery and engineering, electrical and electronics and industrial components subsectors. We have rebased all them from start of 2009 at 100 and plotted them as a group. (BHARAT FORGE, […]
source: http://timelyportfolio.blogspot.com
Call it good omen or bad, human beings have associated natural occurrences with events. Though ‘objectivists’ say human beings suffer from illusions and see what they want to, reconsideration shows there is more to illusions than just a black crow or swan. Watching a crow perched outside your window or watching a black swan in […]
We have increased our coverage from CNX 100 to BSE500 stocks and we have also generated two new groups of pure global equity and pure commodity (including late economic stocks). Q: What does a new group mean? A: A group is a combination of assets. Jiseki rankings are generated based on performance between a group […]