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Alpha. DOW30 – Boeing is topping

Mukul Pal · February 1, 2010

Boeing is at the top while Exxon is at the bottom. Boeing was also the fastest change in positive ranking. The stock is up 8% from start of the year. Exxon on the other side is down 7% from the start of the year. The pair delivered 15% from start of the year, as both short and long legs were profitable. Now that the pair components are at two extremes (BA at top and XOM at bottom), we should be get ready for a reversal in performance in February. We will keep you posted on the signal.
In terms of change of rankings Microsoft witnessed the fastest negative change. The stock is down 9% from start of the year. MSFT also delivered positive returns against Intel. Long MSFT- Short Intel was up 6% since30 Nov. Long Kraft,  Short Coca Cola is stagnating at 10% since 9 Dec. The pairs we expect to deliver in the coming weeks are long HP – Short Microsoft; Long JPM – Short Amex; Long Exxon – Short Chevron; Long Intel – Short Microsoft.





ALPHA is a pair trading, long only – short only strategy and numeric ranking product based on TIME fractals. Time arbitrage, Time Triads, Time fractals are terms coined by Orpheus Research. The signals are carried over three different time frames viz. sub minor (2-3 days), minor (10-30 days) and intermediate (above 30 days). This is a daily signal product. The signals will be illustrated through tracker and running portfolios. Alpha can be used by fund managers for relative allocations, traders for leverage bets and high net worth clients for selective trades. This is a part of the time triads analytics developed by Orpheus Research.
Assets Covered : Alcoa, Disney, Kraft, P&G, American Express, GE, Coca Cola, AT&T, Boeing, Home Depot, Macdonald’s, MMM, HP, Bank of America, Travelers, United Tech, Caterpillar, IBM, Merck, Verizon, Cisco, Intel, Microsoft, Chevron, J&J, Pfizer, Exxon, Dupont, JPM, Walmart
*This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.
STOP LOSS AND EXITS are activated at 2%
‘Performance cycles’ is a term coined by Orpheus Capitals. This is another name for time triads, time arbitrage, time fractals but expressed in terms of relative performance. It’s a bounded oscillator that moves in a range say from 1 to 30. 1 is top relative performance and 30 is worst performance. The idea is that performance is cyclical. A top performer will underperform in future and vice versa. A top relative performer is also the worst value pick and the top relative underperformer is the best value pick.
Please feel free to mail us for any clarifications. *This is a strategy product. Long Short strategies are not riskless strategies. Please mail us for a detailed working or consult a local financial risk manager to execute these pairs. For more details please subscribe to the ORPHEUS TIME ANALYTICS research products.
ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – UNITED KINGDOM
ORPHEUS RESEARCH AT REUTERS – USA

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