We carried for you short ideas and long ideas. It may seem strange or coincident but both the list of stocks delivered vs. Nifty. Now our long ideas are more intermediate in nature. And since we don’t have spot instruments to short, the short signal ideas are leveraged, sharp stopped and minor (few days) […]
1) What is the view on INR? 2) What is the INR connection with NIFTY? 3) What are the key levels? 4) Is the overall India outlook view bullish or bearish? To read this Indian Rupee update mail us for subscription details. Our Jiseki Time cycles are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived […]
The latest ALPHA illustrates the short ideas. Our Jiseki Time cycles are seasonal patterns of strength or weakness in assets. They are derived from percentile rankings from 1 to 100. The higher the percentile more the chance for an asset to weaken and worst the ranking, better the chance for the respective asset to outperform. 100 is top relative […]
It’s tough for a technician to ask such questions. But then there is no stupid question. So here it goes. What’s wrong with momentum? Though conventionally momentum is understood as an oscillator that defines overbought and oversold, momentum can also be defined as a detrending cycle calculated on an asset price. When the cycle is […]
We have spoken about reversion, or losers outperforming winners. This approach works. In their 1985 paper ‘Does the stock market overeact?”, DeBondt and Thaler explained the idea of mean reversion and how it leads to the Loser’s portfolio of 3 years outperforming the Winner’s portfolio of the same time. Findings of reversion in stock prices […]
I am not sure whether you would have said YES to this question start of the year. But now of course that the stock has moved 124% year to date, the buzz has started. HDIL was the worst ranking Jiseki India stock we have been mentioning as an accumulate and buy along with DLF, RLCM, […]
One of our old members wrote to us today. He said “Mukul I miss Elliott Wave approach, you were one of the best Elliotticians. But I can accept the supremacy of statistics”. He on one side was upset and on the other side accepted the way we have evolved the research systems at Orpheus. We […]
A trade can make money. But if a trade makes consistent gains, it’s a wealth generating idea. What we do at Orpheus is build systems that can help you identify outperformers, winners while reducing trading and investment risk. How do we do it? 1)We identify least risk outliers. 2)We identify cycles of performance in those […]
Top Sector Pairs In continuation with the sector peer pairs we carried yesterday, today we are carrying the sector indices paired vs. CNX100. Since CNX100 is a broad index, we have used it as a comparative proxy vs. all sector indices. This ALPHA report answers the following questions. 1)Which are the sector current running […]
Juicing the Orange was a wonderful book I read in a long time. An economist dabbling with an ad book and writing about one might seem strange but then, are markets not about understanding trends, society, innovation and creativity? The book, written by Pat Fallon, founder of Fallon Worldwide, suggests creative leverage as the solution. […]